Call your local bookie: the morning line favorite
Orb: a blazing Monday workout has made him the Kentucky Derby favorite |
Times tote board by Joe Drape and Melissa Hoppert
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| POST | HORSE | TRAINER | JOCKEY | ODDS | |
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| 1 | Black Onyx | Kelly Breen | Joe Bravo | 50-1 | |
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| Melissa Hoppert: Won the Spiral Stakes, which was Animal Kingdom’s major prep victory before winning Derby. Don’t expect Black Onyx to do the same. Joe Drape: Long shot was working well, but lost all chance when he ended up with the worst post. | |||||
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| 2 | Oxbow | D. Wayne Lukas | Gary Stevens | 30-1 | |
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| MH: Do not count out two great racing veterans, Lukas and Stevens. JD: Looks as if horse peaked in March rather than May. | |||||
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| 3 | Revolutionary | Todd Pletcher | Calvin Borel | 10-1 | |
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| MH: Overcame troubled trip in Withers, then held on in Louisiana Derby. No. 3 post is perfect spot for Calvin Bo-Rail. JD: He has had trouble breaking from the gate, but has trained well and will be running late. | |||||
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| 4 | Golden Soul | Dallas Stewart | Robby Albarado | 50-1 | |
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| MH: Finished fourth in Louisiana Derby. Just don’t see him as a threat. JD: He’s won once — back in December. | |||||
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| 5 | Normandy Invasion | Chad Brown | Javier Castellano | 12-1 | |
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| MH: Troubled trip in Risen Star, but showed in Wood that he can run. Been training well at Churchill. JD: Late charge into a crawling pace looked good at Wood, but his only victory came in November. | |||||
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| 6 | Mylute | Thomas Amoss | Rosie Napravnik | 15-1 | |
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| MH: Almost beat Revolutionary in Louisiana Derby, and Napravnik and No. 6 post are on his side. But is he good enough? JD: He has a sprinter’s pedigree and will be staggering down the stretch. | |||||
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| 7 | Giant Finish | Tony Dutrow | Jose Espinoza | 50-1 | |
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| MH: The final addition to the field. Finished third in the Spiral, but probably doesn’t belong. JD: No shot. | |||||
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| 8 | Goldencents | Doug O’Neill | Kevin Krigger | 5-1 | |
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| MH: Showed his mettle in Santa Anita Derby. With his speed, he has a shot. JD: Can he stalk and pounce? Can his rider stay focused in his first Derby? Many questions. | |||||
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| 9 | Overanalyze | Todd Pletcher | Rafael Bejarano | 15-1 | |
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| MH: Cruised to 4 1⁄4-length victory in Arkansas Derby, but Vyjack easily dispatched him in Gotham. JD: He’s a quality colt and has looked good since arriving at Churchill. Arkansas Derby was slow, though. | |||||
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| 10 | Palace Malice | Todd Pletcher | Mike Smith | 20-1 | |
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| MH: Finished second in Blue Grass two weeks after troubled trip in Louisiana Derby. Has had chance to break through. JD: This one has gotten better every race, sort of like his daddy, Curlin. He’s green but dangerous. | |||||
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| 11 | Lines of Battle | Aidan O’Brien | Ryan Moore | 30-1 | |
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| MH: Nice win in the UAE Derby in Dubai, but he just got to Churchill and has never won on dirt. JD: He’s bred for the dirt and the marathon distance. | |||||
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| 12 | Itsmyluckyday | Eddie Plesa Jr. | Elvis Trujillo | 15-1 | |
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| MH: Set track record in Holy Bull and looked solid in losing to Orb in Florida Derby. Has been thriving since he got to Louisville. JD: The stalker is fast, fit and seasoned. Say hello to your Derby winner. | |||||
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| 13 | Falling Sky | John Terranova II | Luis Saez | 50-1 | |
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| MH: Third in Tampa Bay Derby, but he’s going to be lost against this field and at this distance. JD: This speedster will set the pace, but little more. | |||||
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| 14 | Verrazano | Todd Pletcher | John Velazquez | 4-1 | |
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| MH: Undefeated colt was finally tested in Wood and prevailed. Has not been very impressive in Churchill workouts. JD: Can he get the mile-and-a-quarter distance? His daddy, More Than Ready, could not. | |||||
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| 15 | Charming Kitten | Todd Pletcher | Edgar Prado | 20-1 | |
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| MH: Third in Blue Grass, but again, has never run on dirt. Must be exceptional to make the switch; he’s not. JD: Strong closer, but this is a tough place to make dirt debut. | |||||
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| 16 | Orb | Shug McGaughey | Joel Rosario | 7-2 | |
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| MH: Found stride at Gulfstream, winning Fountain of Youth and Florida Derby. The talk of the backside, and with good reason. His race to lose. JD: He’s won four in a row in impressive fashion. But too many have already declared him the winner. | |||||
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| 17 | Will Take Charge | D. Wayne Lukas | Jon Court | 20-1 | |
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| MH: Has not run since winning Rebel on March 16. Don’t think he will regain that form. JD: Hall of Fame trainer has won this race four times. No fifth this year. | |||||
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| 18 | Frac Daddy | Kenneth McPeek | Victor Lebron | 50-1 | |
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| MH: Second in Arkansas Derby. If the track is muddy, his chances go up, but only slightly. JD: He has won before at Churchill, but I’m not sure that’s enough. | |||||
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| 19 | Java’s War | Kenneth McPeek | Julien Leparoux | 15-1 | |
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| MH: Catapulted into Derby picture in thrilling fashion, coming from last to win Blue Grass. But was the performance a fluke? JD: He closed spectacularly in Blue Grass, but looks like a turf horse. | |||||
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| 20 | Vyjack | Rudy Rodriguez | Garrett Gomez | 15-1 | |
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| MH: Gelding put up a fight in the Wood and has only one loss. But all his races were at Aqueduct, and he drew an unfortunate post. JD: Hasn’t trained well and drew poorly. Little chance. | |||||
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| PICKS | WIN | PLACE | SHOW | ||
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| Melissa Hoppert | Orb | Goldencents | Itsmyluckyday | ||
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| Joe Drape | Itsmyluckyday | Palace Malice | Orb |
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